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Euro Near the End of Corrective Rally Against Yen

We exited the GBPUSD long from yesterday at 2.0248 for a 188 pip profit.  Currently, we see a bearish setup in EURJPY.  A spike through 159.20 should lead to a reversal.  The next bear leg is expected to eventually break below the August 2007 low of 149.25.

The drop from 167.64 can be viewed as a series of 1st and 2nd waves (following a major truncated 5th wave).  Therefore, the EURJPY is entering a 3rd of a 3rd wave decline; often the fastest part of the decline.  The larger bearish bias is intact as long as price is below 161.40.

 

 

 

Near term, a spike through 159.20 is likely; in order to complete wave c of ii.  A likely reversal point is the 61.8% of 161.40-155.93 at 159.31.  The 78.6% at 160.23 could also provide resistance.

 

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