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Forex Market Outlook 10/18/11

By Mike Conlon, on Oct 18, 2011

With the overhang of the realization that indeed Euro zone leaders will not have a resolution in place by next week like the G-20 leaders asked for, it is now questionable what exactly Merkozy were referring to when they claimed to be able to have something ready by early November. Is their timetable still in play? From where I sit, it doesn’t seem likely.

Forex Market Outlook 10/17/11

By Mike Conlon, on Oct 17, 2011

Over the weekend, G-20 leaders re-iterated their desire that EU leaders pick up the pace and come up with the solution to the Euro debt crisis, essentially giving them a week to finalize the plan. This provided the market with some optimism to start out the day, but that optimism was short-lived as Merkel’s reps sought to lower expectations.

The message was that essentially the “dream” of solving the crisis in the next week was not likely, essentially dousing risk appetite lower. While European leaders believe that they have identified 5 areas that need to be addressed, as always, the devil is in the details.

Forex Market Outlook 10/14/11

By Mike Conlon, on Oct 14, 2011

It looks as though the European rescue plan is starting to take shape as a meeting of G-20 leaders is likely to produce a framework for the resolution. It is then likely that whatever emerges will be discussed at a meeting next week of European leaders and if that is agreed to, then we could have the final resolution by early November as promised by Merkel and Sarkozy.

Bobbys Corner-Open Market-October 14.2011

Good Morning:

FX markets prepare themselves for this weekend’s G-20 meeting, and expectations are high that the Euro Zone will come up with a meaningful monetary plan to deal with the regions sovereign debt issues.

Forex Market Outlook 10/13/11

By Mike Conlon, on Oct 13, 2011

Yesterday’s release of the FOMC meeting minutes was a complete dud and market hopes that the Fed was close to QE3 went unrealized. Part of that hope came from Bernanke’s speech to the Joint Economic Committee earlier this month, but it seems as though that mention of further easing was intended to keep the markets from falling off a cliff.

Yet they are no closer to QE3 then previously thought, so the “free money trade” will have to wait for another day or for the economy to worsen dramatically, which is not out of the realm of possibility if the EU fails to meet their deadline on the debt crisis resolution. The clock is ticking.

Forex Market Outlook 10/12/11

This morning has started with risk appetite driving markets higher, with Dollar and Yen weakness acting as either a by-product or catalyst of the move. Regardless of who or what is leading the charge, a sense of calm is starting to return to the markets and they looked poised for a 4th quarter rally into the end of the year.

Forex Market Outlook 10/11/11

By Mike Conlon, on Oct 11, 2011 01:26:22 GMT

This morning all eyes are on the tiny nation of Slovakia who is wielding enormous power in that they are voting on whether or not to ratify the expansion of the EFSF in the Euro zone as part of the July 21st agreement. There must be unanimous agreement among all 17 Euro nations or the process could be derailed. While the market is expecting this vote to pass, there is some trepidation until it is a done deal.

So the markets have started the morning in mild risk-aversion mode after yesterday’s tremendous move higher in stocks and commodities. The S&P 500 had its largest daily gain in nearly 2 months on a light-volume session due to the Columbus Day holiday here in the US with the bond market closed.

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